Investment Focus

Exploring Value Beyond Public Markets.

Our research covers three principal areas of the U.S. private markets, along with selected private market opportunities. For each, we set out how value is created, what we examine and what can go wrong.

Private Equity & Co-Investments

Overview

Private equity is the ownership of operating businesses outside the public markets. Its main forms include buyouts, in which a sponsor acquires a controlling stake, often with borrowed money; growth equity, which provides capital to expanding companies, usually as a minority investor; and buy-and-build strategies that consolidate fragmented industries through a series of acquisitions. Co-investments allow investors to participate directly in a specific transaction alongside a lead sponsor, typically with greater transparency into the individual deal.

Investment Logic

Value in private equity generally comes from three sources: growth in earnings driven by revenue expansion and operational improvement; reduction of debt from the business's own cash flow; and any change in the valuation multiple between entry and exit. The most durable value usually comes from the first two. Reliance on a higher exit multiple is a source of risk rather than a plan.

Diagram: the three sources of private equity value (earnings growth, debt reduction, multiple change), illustrative only, with no figures.

Key Research Factors

  • Business FundamentalsMarket position, customer concentration, pricing power and the durability of revenue.
  • Transaction ValuationThe entry price relative to earnings and cash flow, and how it compares with credible precedents.
  • Cash FlowThe ability to convert earnings into cash to service debt and fund growth.
  • Operational ImprovementA specific, achievable plan for margin, efficiency or growth, with the management capability to deliver it.
  • Exit StrategyRealistic routes to a sale, recapitalisation or listing, and the conditions each depends on.

Principal Risks

  • Leverage magnifies losses as well as gains if earnings fall short of plan.
  • Capital is typically committed for many years, with limited or no ability to withdraw early.
  • Valuations between transactions are estimates and may not reflect realisable value.
  • Fees, expenses and conflicts of interest can materially reduce investor returns.
  • Co-investments concentrate exposure in a single company.

Pre-IPO & Private Company Shares

Overview

Many growth-stage U.S. companies raise substantial capital privately before considering a public listing. Their shares may be acquired through primary funding rounds or through secondary transactions, in which existing shareholders such as early employees or investors sell their holdings. Access is often indirect, through special-purpose vehicles or funds that hold the shares.

Investment Logic

The opportunity lies in participating in a company's growth before it is reflected in public market prices. The challenge is that information is limited, prices are negotiated rather than discovered on an exchange, and the rights attached to different classes of shares can differ significantly. A strong company bought at too high a price, or through an unfavourable structure, can still produce a poor investment.

Diagram: a simplified private company capital structure showing how share classes and preferences rank, illustrative only.

Key Research Factors

  • Business QualityRevenue quality, unit economics, competitive position and the path to sustainable profitability.
  • Growth PotentialThe size of the addressable market and the evidence supporting the company's growth assumptions.
  • ValuationThe price being paid compared with the most recent funding round, public comparables and the company's fundamentals.
  • Shareholder RightsShare class, liquidation preferences, information rights and the investor's position in the capital structure.
  • Liquidity RestrictionsCompany approval rights over transfers, rights of first refusal and post-listing lock-up periods.
  • Exit UncertaintyWhether, when and on what terms a listing or acquisition might occur. Neither is assured.

Principal Risks

  • The company may never list or be acquired, and the investment may be difficult or impossible to sell.
  • Indirect ownership through vehicles adds layers of cost and counterparty risk.
  • Transfers may require company approval and can fail.
  • Prices paid in secondary transactions may exceed the value eventually realised.
  • Unsolicited pre-IPO offers are a known area of investment fraud.

Hedge Funds & Alternative Strategies

Overview

Hedge funds are privately offered pooled investment vehicles that use a wide range of strategies, including long/short equity, event-driven, global macro, relative value and credit. They are generally available only to investors who meet specified financial or sophistication criteria, and they are subject to less regulatory protection than retail funds.

Investment Logic

The aim of most alternative strategies is to generate returns from sources that differ from simply holding the market, such as security selection, corporate events, pricing anomalies or macroeconomic views, and in some cases to reduce correlation with traditional portfolios. Because results depend heavily on the individual manager, manager selection and ongoing monitoring are central.

Diagram: map of major hedge fund strategy families with their principal return drivers and risk factors, no performance data.

Key Research Factors

  • Investment StrategyWhat the strategy does, why it should work and in which market conditions it is likely to struggle.
  • Manager SelectionThe team's experience, the consistency of its process, operational infrastructure and regulatory history.
  • Risk ManagementPosition limits, diversification, stress testing and how drawdowns have been managed.
  • LeverageHow much borrowing, short selling or derivatives exposure is used, and how it is controlled.
  • FeesHow fee structures and fund expenses affect the investor's net outcome.
  • LiquidityHow and when capital can be withdrawn, and how this compares with the liquidity of the underlying holdings.

Principal Risks

  • Leverage, short selling and derivatives can magnify losses.
  • Redemptions may be infrequent and can be suspended in periods of market stress.
  • Fees can materially reduce net returns, and performance fees may encourage risk-taking.
  • Hard-to-value holdings make reported performance less certain.
  • Operational failures and fraud, while uncommon, are significant risks in less-regulated vehicles.

Select Private Market Opportunities

Overview

From time to time our research may also cover other areas of the U.S. private markets that fit our analytical framework. Each is assessed with the same discipline: sources of value, valuation, structure, liquidity and risk.


Learn How We Evaluate Opportunities